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Predicting the all Canadian division for the 20-21 season

Créé par: bunzy1034
Équipe: 2020-21 Équipe personnalisée
Date de création initiale: 16 oct. 2020
Publié: 16 oct. 2020
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Using a WAR generator, I put together at this point in time, every teams lineup for opening night. Keep in mind it just gives an even 0 for every prospect as it is unknown what they will bring as obviously they have never played a game before. So it’s okay to give another 5 point cushion in either direction I would say. All of the estimates totals would be on an 82 game schedule

Here is what I came up with
1.Toronto maple Leafs: 103 points projected points
2. Calgary flames: 95 projected points
3. Winnipeg Jets: 94 projected points
4. Vancouver Canucks: 92 projected points
5. Edmonton Oilers: 85 projected points
6.Montreal Canadiens: 84 projected points
7. Ottawa senators: 60 projected points
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
42999 999 999 $207 896 281 $0 $7 300 000 $792 103 718 $
Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
2 250 000 $2 250 000 $
AD, AG
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
11 640 250 $11 640 250 $
C
UFA - 4
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
6 962 366 $6 962 366 $
AD
UFA - 4
Logo de Flames de Calgary
6 750 000 $6 750 000 $
AG
UFA - 2
Logo de Flames de Calgary
6 375 000 $6 375 000 $
C, AG, AD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo de Flames de Calgary
4 850 000 $4 850 000 $
C, AD
UFA - 4
Logo de Jets de Winnipeg
7 142 857 $7 142 857 $
AG
UFA - 6
Logo de Jets de Winnipeg
6 125 000 $6 125 000 $
C
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo de Jets de Winnipeg
8 250 000 $8 250 000 $
AD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
5 250 000 $5 250 000 $
C, AG, AD
UFA - 3
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 850 000 $$3M)
C, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
5 875 000 $5 875 000 $
AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
AG, C
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
12 500 000 $12 500 000 $
C
UFA - 6
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
894 166 $894 166 $ (Bonis de performance230 000 $$230K)
AD
RFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
4 800 000 $4 800 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
3 083 333 $3 083 333 $
C
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
3 750 000 $3 750 000 $
AD, AG
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo de Sénateurs d'Ottawa
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 500 000 $$2M)
AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Sénateurs d'Ottawa
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
C
UFA - 2
Logo de Sénateurs d'Ottawa
736 666 $736 666 $ (Bonis de performance20 000 $$20K)
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
DG
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
DG/DD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Flames de Calgary
4 550 000 $4 550 000 $
DD
UFA - 6
Logo de Flames de Calgary
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
G
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo de Flames de Calgary
3 375 000 $3 375 000 $
DG
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Jets de Winnipeg
3 000 000 $3 000 000 $
DD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo de Jets de Winnipeg
6 166 667 $6 166 667 $
G
UFA - 4
Logo de Jets de Winnipeg
6 250 000 $6 250 000 $
DG
UFA - 8
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
5 950 000 $5 950 000 $
DG/DD
M-NTC
UFA - 5
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
1 050 000 $1 050 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
916 667 $916 667 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
DG
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
4 166 666 $4 166 666 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
4 167 000 $4 167 000 $
DG
UFA - 3
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
7 857 143 $7 857 143 $
DD
UFA - 6
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
10 500 000 $10 500 000 $
G
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
1 750 000 $1 750 000 $
DG/DD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Sénateurs d'Ottawa
4 000 000 $4 000 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Sénateurs d'Ottawa
4 687 500 $4 687 500 $
G
UFA - 4
Logo de Sénateurs d'Ottawa
8 000 000 $8 000 000 $
DG
UFA - 8

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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 7
#1
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Makes life a lot easier for the leafs, and a lot harder on everyone else in the east...
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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 8
#2
KFTW
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I feel like this list will be very wrong.
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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 9
#3
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I ran a similar exercise earlier today using Sean Tierney's WAR lineup creator and got very different numbers:

1. Winnipeg (104pts)
2. Vancouver (97pts)
3. Edmonton (94pts)
4. Toronto (93pts)
5. Calgary (88pts)
6. Montreal (83pts)
7. Ottawa (81pts)

I personally re-arranged them on a more realistic approach to be:

1. Toronto
2. Winnipeg
3. Edmonton
4. Vancouver
5. Montreal
6. Calgary
7. Ottawa

With TOR/WPG duking it out for 1st, Edmonton on their own little island, and the trio of Vancouver/Montreal/Calgary in a dogfight for that fourth spot.
bunzy1034 a aimé ceci.
16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 9
#4
KFTW
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How would making the playoffs work among this division? First 3 and then wildcard with another division?
16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 10
#5
KFTW
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
I ran a similar exercise earlier today using Sean Tierney's WAR lineup creator and got very different numbers:

1. Winnipeg (104pts)
2. Vancouver (97pts)
3. Edmonton (94pts)
4. Toronto (93pts)
5. Calgary (88pts)
6. Montreal (83pts)
7. Ottawa (81pts)

I personally re-arranged them on a more realistic approach to be:

1. Toronto
2. Winnipeg
3. Edmonton
4. Vancouver
5. Montreal
6. Calgary
7. Ottawa

With TOR/WPG duking it out for 1st, Edmonton on their own little island, and the trio of Vancouver/Montreal/Calgary in a dogfight for that fourth spot.


I just feel like WAR can be really wrong. All the Sens youngsters aren’t there. Romanov probably isn’t included or valued as a replacement player
bunzy1034 a aimé ceci.
16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 12
#6
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Quoting: csick
I feel like this list will be very wrong.

Usually it is. For example the Ottawa senators will likely do better, the generator doesn’t give any positive or negative values to prospects because they haven’t played. So I think it’s realistic to give a team like that with so many prospects a 10 point window. I would say there absolute best is probably a 75 point pace
16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 16
#7
Ban Price trades
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Quoting: csick
I just feel like WAR can be really wrong. All the Sens youngsters aren’t there. Romanov probably isn’t included or valued as a replacement player


I ran my projections with any unlisted player as an NHL average. We expect these guys to be more than replacement level, but have no baseline for them. Thought it was fair.

Most WAR projections were within 5-10% of where the team finished. I wouldn't say it's an end-all, be-all, but it's good for a baseline.
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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 19
#8
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Quoting: csick
How would making the playoffs work among this division? First 3 and then wildcard with another division?

Yeah I assume that’s what would likely happen, as hopefully by may or so the virus has calmed down a bit
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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 29
#9
Bcarlo25
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Leafs actually have a chance of making it out of the first round!
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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 42
#10
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What WAR generator are you using. I've been trying to find one but I have had no luck.
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16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 42
#11
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Quoting: BeastModeUnknown
What WAR generator are you using. I've been trying to find one but I have had no luck.


I’m using Jfresh’s model
16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 43
#12
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Quoting: bunzy1034
I’m using Jfresh’s model


Ah I'll have to ask him. I've talked to him quite a bit.
bunzy1034 a aimé ceci.
16 oct. 2020 à 16 h 45
#13
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Quoting: BeastModeUnknown
Ah I'll have to ask him. I've talked to him quite a bit.


Yeah he’s a chill guy and his models are great!
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