Quoting: Capitalfail67
Ham : 49.19CF% 47.92FF% 48.55 xGF% Not signed yet
Brodie: 52.07CF% 51.03FF% 52.69xGF% 5m aav x 4 years
Tanev: 46.47CF% 47.43FF% 46.88xGF% 4.5m aavx 4years
Barie: 53.27 CF% 51.75FF% 50.89xGF% not signed yet But Leaf fans hated him
Schultz: 49.77CF% 51.20FF% 50.88xGF% 4m aav x 2 years (low term)
Yeah, some of those guys are a bit more expensive (Barrie came in at 1x3.75M though and I'd take that over Schultz for 2x4M any day), but the Caps are gonna have to move someone to make room right now regardless, so an extra 0.5-1M doesn't make a huge difference. The extra term's not a huge deal either. Whether a guy signs for 2 years or 4, he's gonna be on the books when the Caps have their cap crunch next offseason. If adding two more years lowers the AAV, why not do it? Especially since the Caps don't have any prospects remotely close to the NHL on the right side.
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Attmpt % Scoring chances % high danger % expected goals %
with JJ 44.5 44.4 36.2 41.6
W/o JJ 51.2 49. 52.7 53.2
Here's Gudas from last season with similar statistics.
FF% SCF% HDCF% xGF%
with Kempny 44.97 49.62 38.98 42.71
W/o Kempny 51.23 50.30 51.08 52.20
Now either Kempny's poor play was hiding that Gudas is actually an offensive defenseman, or taking these numbers without any context isn't actually all that informative.
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Penguins Powerplay ranked 8th overall last year.... seems like if he's playing 3 minutes a night (AND ISNT GOOD) on the powerplay he must be doing something to help.... or that 8th for be a lot worse. MAYBE bc the penguins dont run the same type of powerplay as the capitals he isnt getting the 1-2 touch before the puck goes into the net?
Or they had no one else put there. Only other righty in their lineup was rookie John Marino, and if you check out his college stats it's clear he's not an offensive defenseman. Interestingly, after Schultz came back from his knee injury in December he dropped from 3 minutes a night pre-injury to 2 and a half, while Marino went up from 0:23 to 1:11, so it seems like the Pens were losing faith in Schultz. Anyway, Schultz had plenty of PP points his two full years in Pittsburgh prior to shattering his ankle, so I don't think you can blame the scheme.
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Offersheet? okay then we lose draft picks and overpay a player.... that generally how offer sheets work you overpay a player... not smart. Schultz made the most sense and we didnt have to give up any assets or risk 4 years on a 30+ year old player
Ordinarily I'm not in favor of offer sheets, but this is a special situation. Tampa has no room for their three big RFAs, all their expensive contracts have full NTCs and NMCs, and they couldn't even dump Tyler Johnson by waiving him. If the Caps got Cernak to sign an offer sheet at around 4M per year, there would've been basically no way for Tampa to match it without losing both Sergachev and Cirelli, and the compensation would've been just the 2021 2nd. That was my plan A for this offseason.