Why wouldn't EDM qualify? GMKH has said he's not a rental, AKA «we're keeping him long term»

Ya it’s going to take more than a 7th rounder but I actually like capitals as a destination for AA. Smart thinking

He said that when he acquired him before he only posted 1 goal 1 assist in 15 games and flat cap being announced. Holland has been reportedly shopping his rights heavily lately before the deadline to qualify

To trade for RFA rights, one has to intend to write a Q.O. Isn't his Q.O. a bit above 3.0?

No, his QO is 3mil.

I would say he's worth a 3rd at best in a trade. As a Sens fan I wouldn't give up more than pick #71 for him as a reclamation project.

It really depends how much of a raise he wants I think. Arb rights plus meh performance with them might equal no qualification or trade. If he wants too much of a raise they won't have the cap room (barring a bunch of other moves I guess)

You can't walk away from an arb award unless it's over 4.5 million I believe. If they don't sign him before arb, they're forced to pay him that money or trade him.

Nah. It's pay or UFA. The chance to trade him ends on arbitration day. That's why you see RFA rights getting traded for less than the signed player would be worth in trade. Edmundson would never move anywhere for just a 5th round pick, but his RFA rights just did. And he signed for 3.5M per. If we're saying AA might be a good gamble at a $3M salary, then the ceiling of what his RFA rights are traded for should be a 5th like Edmundson. Possibly just a 6th if there's more risk involved, such as the risk that AA at $3M might not get any points, and wouldn't chip in anything defensive or physical to make up for it. There's some potential reward there, too, so I agree with ClockReads that a 7th might be too low.

They would move him before the qualification date is what I'm saying. If the max they can offer him is, say 3.2 million for a year, and he's already turned that down, then the easiest option might be to not qualify him at all like Vancouver did with Ben Hutton. He would then become a UFA and could sign wherever for whatever. Or they could trade his rights to someone who would qualify him and then they could hammer out the extension. That's the ideal solution since the Oilers gave up assets to get him so they should get something back. The question is, does anyone want AA for much more than his qualifying offer of 3ish million in a flat cap world?

My point being, the Oilers really don't have the room for AA if he wants anything more than his qualifying offer basically. So if it's clear he's not going to accept that, then you either trade him before formally extending the qualifying offer or you don't extend the offer at all and he becomes a UFA, so the Oilers avoid the arbitration process all together.

Or if you really believe in the kid, then you can qualify him and hammer out the extension but doing that would necessitate some other moves being made on the roster and I don't see many options where they end up a better overall team on paper with AA making like 4million or something.

He should just take the qualifying offer with the Oilers and bet on scoring a bajillion points with McDavid so that someone else can overpay him later when more teams have money to throw around.