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Sabres Fix

Créé par: edwardtedbrady
Équipe: 2020-21 Sabres de Buffalo
Date de création initiale: 26 août 2020
Publié: 26 août 2020
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
This is a next year fix to the Buffalo Sabres. All contract projections via 2020 Evolving Hockey contract projections. Only UFAs for D. A couple RFA's from last year but looks like a new team. Plus more players fall off the cap next year which allows team to sign Joki & Dahlin & then reevaluate roster.

Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win.

Gaudreau is a dump by Calgary. They are acquiring a young top 4 D man in Montour & another young top 6 d man in Pilut. They could use an elite blue line. On top receive 8th 2nd round which will still have potential to hit key players & next years sabres first (which we have seen the sabres have not trended well to making the playoffs). Its a good trade & allow Calgary to gain more support offensively & defensively with an affordable, youthful, blue line.

Last trade is questionable but might be worth it for Pens. If they are running for the cup again they would probably love another offensive defensemen to round out their scoring. Risto offers that & they trade their backup in Jarry & keep Murray since he already has won them a cup. Stick with what you know.
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
RFAANSCAP HIT
21 173 000 $
1821 100 $
34 802 000 $
22 912 000 $
44 977 000 $
88 744 000 $
11 500 000 $
23 000 000 $
1800 900 $
1813 200 $
UFAANSCAP HIT
11 802 000 $
1840 800 $
Transactions
1.
MTL
  1. Asplund, Rasmus
  2. Mittelstadt, Casey
  3. Choix de 5e ronde en 2020 (BUF)
2.
CGY
  1. Montour, Brandon
  2. Pilut, Lawrence
  3. Choix de 2e ronde en 2020 (BUF)
  4. Choix de 1e ronde en 2021 (BUF)
3.
BUF
  1. Jarry, Tristan [Droits de RFA]
Rachats de contrats
Enfoui
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2020
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de DAL
2021
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
2022
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
Logo de BUF
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2281 500 000 $79 935 733 $1 487 500 $4 337 500 $1 564 267 $

Formation

Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Flames de Calgary
6 750 000 $6 750 000 $
AG
UFA - 2
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
10 000 000 $10 000 000 $
C
UFA - 6
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
4 977 000 $4 977 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 2
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
9 000 000 $9 000 000 $
AG, AD
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
3 083 333 $3 083 333 $
C
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
8 744 000 $8 744 000 $
AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
AG, AD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
894 167 $894 167 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
C, AG
UFA - 3
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
2 912 000 $2 912 000 $
AG, AD, C
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
925 000 $925 000 $
C, AG
RFA - 2
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
AD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
813 200 $813 200 $
AD, C
UFA - 2
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
800 900 $800 900 $
C
UFA - 3
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
2 850 000 $2 850 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
3 875 000 $3 875 000 $
DD
UFA - 2
3 000 000 $3 000 000 $
G
UFA - 3
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 850 000 $$3M)
DG/DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
864 166 $864 166 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Sabres de Buffalo
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance637 500 $$638K)
DD
RFA - 1
1 802 000 $1 802 000 $
DG
UFA - 1
840 800 $840 800 $
DD
UFA

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26 août 2020 à 8 h 31
#1
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Statistically below average?!!!! Danault has some of the best xG numbers in the league!!!!
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26 août 2020 à 8 h 31
#2
Subbanator
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Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win.

Literally the only line of this that's true is that MTL has teo young centers, then goes on to say we desperately need young centers...in the end this doesn't get you Danault
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26 août 2020 à 8 h 33
#3
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No sure Montreal would want 2 more centers to add to the mix.
26 août 2020 à 8 h 48
#4
jcambers
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I don't know who Lawerence Pilut, but as a Flames fan - I'd have a tough time saying 'no' to that trade.

It's a no brainer if you keep the 1st and change Lawerence to Cozens.
26 août 2020 à 8 h 52
#5
Shibbal18
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Modifié 26 août 2020 à 15 h 58
Quoting: jcambers
I don't know who Lawerence Pilut, but as a Flames fan - I'd have a tough time saying 'no' to that trade.

It's a no brainer if you keep the 1st and change Lawerence to Cozens.


Why would Buffalo ever entertain trading Cozens, Pilut is the promising Dman that walked out on Botterill because he refused to give him a chance in the NHL even though Pilut was killing it in the A
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26 août 2020 à 8 h 54
#6
Shibbal18
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"Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win."

What?? because of his point totals?? You say MTL has 2 future young centers as a justification for trading a center away, but then you give them 2 more centers....
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26 août 2020 à 9 h 4
#7
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That has to be one of the worst Danault trades I have ever seen. In fact, I stopped reading at < statisticaly below average >...

Again, go watch some games!!!
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26 août 2020 à 9 h 46
#8
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716tablebreaker
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Quoting: NeedTheCleanser
Statistically below average?!!!! Danault has some of the best xG numbers in the league!!!!


Quoting: Shibbal18
"Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win."

What?? because of his point totals?? You say MTL has 2 future young centers as a justification for trading a center away, but then you give them 2 more centers....


Quoting: Carlapin007
That has to be one of the worst Danault trades I have ever seen. In fact, I stopped reading at < statisticaly below average >...

Again, go watch some games!!!


Quoting: Carlapin007
That has to be one of the worst Danault trades I have ever seen. In fact, I stopped reading at < statisticaly below average >...

Again, go watch some games!!!


Every person is entitled to their opinion of my trades. If you are a Montreal Canadiens fan, I understand this look like it would be a bad trade but in reality it isn't. Below is an explanation of why Danault is below average (career wise). He is a great player. I'm not saying the guy is terrible & he can/is a 1 or 2 line center but what he isn't is a 2way center & isn't effective on the power play either. Again...this is statically, not how I feel or have watched. I'm going by numbers not personal view.

Danault
MoneyPuck.com
0.76 Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes Played
13 Goals From 16.87 Expected Goals During 1,337 Minutes Played
12.20 Expected Goals After Adjusting For Shooting Talent
Predicted Shooting Talent is 27.7% Below Average

According to Hockeyviz Isolated Summary he is actually -2%. He has been for the past 3 years -3%, -2%, -2%. His power play is -13% in his career. On top of that he is 5v5 +.04% xG/60 (2% above average) & 5V5 -.18 xG/60 (-7%) defensively. Which you'd think hows he is more of an offensively minded centermen but is he is not good on the power play (-13%) & his predicted shooting talent is not great which tells me he doesn't make a lot of shots he takes.

Danault for Montreal was playing 3rd line center. Which proves & says Montreals coach wants a defensively minded third line center for his team. Danault has 1 year left & would want a payday which Montreal doesn't want to offer considering they have their 1-2 centers for the future. Mittelstadt is still considered a top 6 prospect. Analysts have stated he might fit a winger role better than a center role & actually did well in the AHL when moved. If you read my post I state top 6 forward, not center. Asplund has played in the NHL & is a young center that can fit that 3rd-4th center line role depending on his development. He might not be immediate but he can fill a spot to rotate & is young. They also have Jake Evens to fill that 3rd line center role & Asplund could be your fourth. Thats a great young center core for the future. You're getting two young & very affordable potential top 6 & bottom 6 players where one can still be an elite player & the other can fill the bottom fit role.

It benefits both teams & fills needs. Plus with this Montreal actually gains something then if they play him one more year & lose him as an UFA.
26 août 2020 à 9 h 50
#9
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716tablebreaker
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For those who will say "Danault played 1st & 2nd line all regular season." I know he played that but based on recent articles by the NHL, Montreal Gazette, & more it states the coach wants Danault to be a defensively minded 3rd line center.
26 août 2020 à 10 h 13
#10
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Sorry to say Bro, but you live on a different planet than the rest of us. Forget the numbers and watch some damn games, will you!? Danault is top-10 in the NHL as a 2-way center. He plays big minutes against the best lines and most of the time his line comes up on top of the opponents.

I'll give you the fact that he's not a PP specialist, and that's why he doesn't play the PP... In fact, Danault played 204 games in the last 3 seasons and during those games, he played only 203 minutes of PP. So yeah, I wonder why he doen't put up numbers...
26 août 2020 à 10 h 30
#11
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716tablebreaker
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Okay. If you're biggest argument against me is that I don't watch games, then it isn't a good response to my trade. It says "YOU" personally value him more than his worth. I do watch a lot of hockey but I don't need to describe on average how much I watch to convince you I know hockey. You can choose to disagree & that is fine but this trade isn't meant to screw over Montreal to benefit the sabres. Its supposed to be fair trades that could happen.

I will agree that being a top line center does help in trade value but when the coach no longer values you as a top line center then your value lowers. He can compete, young, & has a respectable contract. You may think he's a good two way center but statistically that doesn't match what you're saying. Him not being on a power play does lower his value as well. You know it does. its not petty but it just means he doesn't have the experience on the power play. This past year was his worst defensive game of his career. Don't get mad if I point at he isn't what people believe he is. Analystic's are important, more now than ever, in evaluating trades. Does analytics miss things, yes. It is not perfect. But it shouldn't be ignored as well as it shouldn't be the only thing used.

If you think there is a better, more fair trade to offer the sabres could offer, I'm all ears. I'm not here to criticize or insult. I'm just hear to have a discussion & view peoples opinions.
26 août 2020 à 10 h 35
#12
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Only reason MTL would trade Danault is biggest they have a surplus of Centers. This would not be enough and doubt theyre interested in Mittelstadt.
26 août 2020 à 10 h 40
#13
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Quoting: edwardtedbrady
Every person is entitled to their opinion of my trades. If you are a Montreal Canadiens fan, I understand this look like it would be a bad trade but in reality it isn't. Below is an explanation of why Danault is below average (career wise). He is a great player. I'm not saying the guy is terrible & he can/is a 1 or 2 line center but what he isn't is a 2way center & isn't effective on the power play either. Again...this is statically, not how I feel or have watched. I'm going by numbers not personal view.

Danault
MoneyPuck.com
0.76 Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes Played
13 Goals From 16.87 Expected Goals During 1,337 Minutes Played
12.20 Expected Goals After Adjusting For Shooting Talent
Predicted Shooting Talent is 27.7% Below Average

According to Hockeyviz Isolated Summary he is actually -2%. He has been for the past 3 years -3%, -2%, -2%. His power play is -13% in his career. On top of that he is 5v5 +.04% xG/60 (2% above average) & 5V5 -.18 xG/60 (-7%) defensively. Which you'd think hows he is more of an offensively minded centermen but is he is not good on the power play (-13%) & his predicted shooting talent is not great which tells me he doesn't make a lot of shots he takes.

Danault for Montreal was playing 3rd line center. Which proves & says Montreals coach wants a defensively minded third line center for his team. Danault has 1 year left & would want a payday which Montreal doesn't want to offer considering they have their 1-2 centers for the future. Mittelstadt is still considered a top 6 prospect. Analysts have stated he might fit a winger role better than a center role & actually did well in the AHL when moved. If you read my post I state top 6 forward, not center. Asplund has played in the NHL & is a young center that can fit that 3rd-4th center line role depending on his development. He might not be immediate but he can fill a spot to rotate & is young. They also have Jake Evens to fill that 3rd line center role & Asplund could be your fourth. Thats a great young center core for the future. You're getting two young & very affordable potential top 6 & bottom 6 players where one can still be an elite player & the other can fill the bottom fit role.

It benefits both teams & fills needs. Plus with this Montreal actually gains something then if they play him one more year & lose him as an UFA.


he's a below average FINISHER, but his xG totals are so high that he can still put up enough points to be top 20 among centers in 5v5 P/60, and consistently one of the better defensive centers (42nd in xGA/60 among all forwards, and obv he is helped by his linemates, but even isolated he's still far above average defensively) in the league (and he is horrible on the PP)
26 août 2020 à 10 h 42
#14
Shibbal18
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Quoting: edwardtedbrady
Every person is entitled to their opinion of my trades. If you are a Montreal Canadiens fan, I understand this look like it would be a bad trade but in reality it isn't. Below is an explanation of why Danault is below average (career wise). He is a great player. I'm not saying the guy is terrible & he can/is a 1 or 2 line center but what he isn't is a 2way center & isn't effective on the power play either. Again...this is statically, not how I feel or have watched. I'm going by numbers not personal view.

Danault
MoneyPuck.com
0.76 Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes Played
13 Goals From 16.87 Expected Goals During 1,337 Minutes Played
12.20 Expected Goals After Adjusting For Shooting Talent
Predicted Shooting Talent is 27.7% Below Average

According to Hockeyviz Isolated Summary he is actually -2%. He has been for the past 3 years -3%, -2%, -2%. His power play is -13% in his career. On top of that he is 5v5 +.04% xG/60 (2% above average) & 5V5 -.18 xG/60 (-7%) defensively. Which you'd think hows he is more of an offensively minded centermen but is he is not good on the power play (-13%) & his predicted shooting talent is not great which tells me he doesn't make a lot of shots he takes.

Danault for Montreal was playing 3rd line center. Which proves & says Montreals coach wants a defensively minded third line center for his team. Danault has 1 year left & would want a payday which Montreal doesn't want to offer considering they have their 1-2 centers for the future. Mittelstadt is still considered a top 6 prospect. Analysts have stated he might fit a winger role better than a center role & actually did well in the AHL when moved. If you read my post I state top 6 forward, not center. Asplund has played in the NHL & is a young center that can fit that 3rd-4th center line role depending on his development. He might not be immediate but he can fill a spot to rotate & is young. They also have Jake Evens to fill that 3rd line center role & Asplund could be your fourth. Thats a great young center core for the future. You're getting two young & very affordable potential top 6 & bottom 6 players where one can still be an elite player & the other can fill the bottom fit role.

It benefits both teams & fills needs. Plus with this Montreal actually gains something then if they play him one more year & lose him as an UFA.


The importance of analytics in hockey is dropping, mostly because of situations like this. Looking at charts do not tell you a lot about a player. And people can skew numbers any way they want. Unlike baseball, their seems to be way too many variables to be accounted for. Advanced stats also really dont do much in the way of predicting a player's next season, especially after a change of scenery. They dont offer much more than the eye test could and its generally recommended to watch the players anyway despite having these numbers. They should make up about 3% of a decision on a player
26 août 2020 à 11 h 17
#15
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The flames and the Canadians easily decline.
 
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