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My Take on TBL Cap Crunch

Créé par: UpsideDownQue
Équipe: 2020-21 Lightning de Tampa Bay
Date de création initiale: 5 juill. 2020
Publié: 5 juill. 2020
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Have to ask a lot of players to waive NTC or submit their trade lists but its possible. Every single one of these trades involves a player with an NTC or M-NTC

Bridge deals ftw

This doesnt solve their cap problems, it just delays it for 1 more year. They will probably have to get rid of a couple big contracts in the 2021 offseason

Trade valuations may not be even, but a lot of it will depend on the NTCs and trade lists, so they may not get the same return they would otherwise
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
LISTE DE RÉSERVEANSCAP HIT
21 000 000 $
RFAANSCAP HIT
1900 000 $
34 500 000 $
24 500 000 $
12 500 000 $
UFAANSCAP HIT
11 000 000 $
11 000 000 $
Transactions
1.
TBL
  1. Choix de 2e ronde en 2021 (COL)
COL
  1. Palat, Ondrej
Détails additionnels:
assuming he waives his NTC
2.
TBL
  1. Staal, Eric (1 625 000 $ retained)
MIN
  1. Johnson, Tyler
  2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2021 (TBL)
Détails additionnels:
MIN gets younger and gets a serviceable 2C with a pick for taking on the extra cap hit and retaining
3.
TBL
EDM
  1. Killorn, Alex
  2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2021 (TBL)
  3. Choix de 3e ronde en 2021 (TBL)
4.
TBL
  1. Choix de 6e ronde en 2021 (NJD)
NJD
  1. Russell, Kris
  2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2021 (COL)
Rachats de contrats
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2020
Logo de TBL
Logo de PHI
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de DET
Logo de TBL
Logo de OTT
Logo de TBL
2021
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de NJD
Logo de TBL
Logo de NSH
Logo de NJD
2022
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
Logo de TBL
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2381 500 000 $79 334 257 $0 $500 000 $2 165 743 $
Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
1 800 000 $1 800 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
6 750 000 $6 750 000 $
C, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
9 500 000 $9 500 000 $
AD
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
8 500 000 $8 500 000 $
AG, C
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
C, AG
UFA - 3
1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
900 000 $900 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Wild du Minnesota
0 $0 $
C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
925 000 $925 000 $
C, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
5 166 666 $5 166 666 $
C, AG, AD
NTC
UFA - 5
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
1 650 000 $1 650 000 $
C, AG, AD
UFA - 1
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
7 875 000 $7 875 000 $
DG
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
2 500 000 $2 500 000 $
DD
UFA - 3
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
9 500 000 $9 500 000 $
G
UFA - 8
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
6 750 000 $6 750 000 $
DG
NTC
UFA - 6
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 3
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
1 300 000 $1 300 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
1 700 000 $1 700 000 $
DG
NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance500 000 $$500K)
DD
RFA - 1
Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
833 333 $833 333 $
AD
RFA - 1
Logo de Lightning de Tampa Bay
759 258 $759 258 $
AD, AG
UFA - 1
1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
DG
UFA - 1

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5 juill. 2020 à 23 h 14
#26
Shibbal18
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Quoting: moli92
Tampa is great but even if they hold out this year they will be dealt the following year. They lose out on 1 year in Tampa to get a more desirable team for the remainder of their contract.
2 options could be:
A) decline to waive the NTC and stay with Tampa throughout 20-21 season, then get traded to your 20th choice team and stay there until your contract expires
B) waive the NTC in 20-21, get traded to your top choice besides Tampa and remain there until your contract expires.

Not saying they will waive for sure, but there are definitely benefits of them doing so. Not sure how much more clear I can make it for you


You said this and i told you, they can choose the most inconvenient teams, and leave Tampa with few viable options, everyone will have a cap problem coming up, the players have the upper hand. Tampa is going to have to make a trade that hurts
5 juill. 2020 à 23 h 16
#27
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Quoting: JTBF81
100% agree with you. This is what many of us in Tampa believe re: Johnson this off season and potentially Gourde the next. Johnson gets much more control over where he wants to go now and Tampa clears one if the 3 guys they need to. Your bridge values are good imo, although I think Cirelli and Cernak will come in a little lower(each around 250-500k less) based on previous Tampa bridge deals on comparable players. Both Cirellu and Serg are very happy here, and neither has indicated even the slightest hint of wanting to leave Tampa for a dump via OS. I don't think Tampa moves Palat at all, and both Killorn and Johnson have better value than these trades. Tampa moves Killorn for like a 2nd+bottom 6 elc type/ b prospect or 3rd, and Johnson should fetch a 2nd or 3rd. They move Paquette for a lowe pick(4th probably) and add a mid pick to Coburn and move him. These moves allow them to run a 22 player roster to start and ljkely keep all 3 rfas. Buying out one if Gourde or Johnson would be a last ditch resort but would would ok free up enough cap to keep Cirelli and Serg, maybe not Cernak though.


Easier said than done, dont know whos feeding you this, but sorry to burst your bubble. Flat cap makes this nearly impossible
5 juill. 2020 à 23 h 30
#28
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Quoting: Shibbal18
You said this and i told you, they can choose the most inconvenient teams, and leave Tampa with few viable options, everyone will have a cap problem coming up, the players have the upper hand. Tampa is going to have to make a trade that hurts


Yeah they could do this, but that just screws themselves over even more... This isnt about the players forcing tampa to make a trade that hurts, this is about the players choosing which city they want to live in and which team they want to play for. Being petty and trying to pick 20 teams that are 'inconvenient' isnt going to stop tampa from trading them anyway. That would just result in a lower return for tampa and the players going to a city they dont want to go to. Its a lose-lose.
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5 juill. 2020 à 23 h 39
#29
Shibbal18
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Quoting: moli92
Yeah they could do this, but that just screws themselves over even more... This isnt about the players forcing tampa to make a trade that hurts, this is about the players choosing which city they want to live in and which team they want to play for. Being petty and trying to pick 20 teams that are 'inconvenient' isnt going to stop tampa from trading them anyway. That would just result in a lower return for tampa and the players going to a city they dont want to go to. Its a lose-lose.


The majority of teams that are undesirable will be on the no trade list. Tampa is the only loser
5 juill. 2020 à 23 h 52
#30
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Quoting: Shibbal18
The majority of teams that are undesirable will be on the no trade list. Tampa is the only loser


Do you not understand that they can get their top choice of team if they waive their full NTC now rather than waiting a year and risking to go to their 20th ranked team?
5 juill. 2020 à 23 h 54
#31
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Quoting: Shibbal18
Easier said than done, dont know whos feeding you this, but sorry to burst your bubble. Flat cap makes this nearly impossible


Nah, many of us have done the math and its far from impossible. Sorry, but fans of Tampa have heard how gutted the team would be for 5 years now due to the cap. I'm sure you and the rest will be right thjs time though...Last year it was going to cost them to move someone like Miller or Gourde etc. Yeah that worked out well for the detractors. Point was a lock to take 9+ or an OS, fail again. Stamkos was as good as gone, strike 3. I can go on but what's the point, it doesn't matter to people that every year continue to guarantee us bolts fans that the team is definitely making a trade that hurts, losing their rfas to an OS or losing a ufa to free agency.

Yes, the flat cap causes some issues for many teams, but the loss of 2.5 to 3 million in cap isn't the end all be all so many on here think it is. Tampa may indeed lose a little value on what they would've received for Killorn or Johnson/Gourde(should one waive of course), but they won't be making a trade that "hurts". If Johnson doesn't wants to waive now, Tampa will easily move him next off season when there will be 21 teams they can negotiate with. If you really think Johnson, Palat or the year after, Gourde can squeeze Tampa with that many teams available, not sure what to tell you really.

Serg and Cirelli will be going nowhere. Cernak is not a sure thing, but Tampa could also keep him on a short term deal. Players know the situation and know they will likely have to take less now to remain with several top notch but cap constrained teams. Tampa has run this business model with all their top rfas as of late, and things have worked fine. Given the comments and seemingly positive dispositions of Serg and Cirelli regarding their future with Tampa, there's nothing to indicate that will change. So, sorry to ruin your narrative of Tampa not being able to move players or having to make a trade that hurts, but until these things happen, those of us with precedent on our side will continue to believe in Tampa getting the job done vs those who just know Tampa is getting hurt badly this time around because of the current cap situation. I'm sure one of these years people like you will finally be right though and of course you'll act like, see, told.you so, after being utterly wrong for the better part of a decade, cool.
6 juill. 2020 à 0 h 20
#32
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Quoting: JTBF81
Nah, many of us have done the math and its far from impossible. Sorry, but fans of Tampa have heard how gutted the team would be for 5 years now due to the cap. I'm sure you and the rest will be right thjs time though...Last year it was going to cost them to move someone like Miller or Gourde etc. Yeah that worked out well for the detractors. Point was a lock to take 9+ or an OS, fail again. Stamkos was as good as gone, strike 3. I can go on but what's the point, it doesn't matter to people that every year continue to guarantee us bolts fans that the team is definitely making a trade that hurts, losing their rfas to an OS or losing a ufa to free agency.

Yes, the flat cap causes some issues for many teams, but the loss of 2.5 to 3 million in cap isn't the end all be all so many on here think it is. Tampa may indeed lose a little value on what they would've received for Killorn or Johnson/Gourde(should one waive of course), but they won't be making a trade that "hurts". If Johnson doesn't wants to waive now, Tampa will easily move him next off season when there will be 21 teams they can negotiate with. If you really think Johnson, Palat or the year after, Gourde can squeeze Tampa with that many teams available, not sure what to tell you really.

Serg and Cirelli will be going nowhere. Cernak is not a sure thing, but Tampa could also keep him on a short term deal. Players know the situation and know they will likely have to take less now to remain with several top notch but cap constrained teams. Tampa has run this business model with all their top rfas as of late, and things have worked fine. Given the comments and seemingly positive dispositions of Serg and Cirelli regarding their future with Tampa, there's nothing to indicate that will change. So, sorry to ruin your narrative of Tampa not being able to move players or having to make a trade that hurts, but until these things happen, those of us with precedent on our side will continue to believe in Tampa getting the job done vs those who just know Tampa is getting hurt badly this time around because of the current cap situation. I'm sure one of these years people like you will finally be right though and of course you'll act like, see, told.you so, after being utterly wrong for the better part of a decade, cool.


Your math is based on the goodwill of players you used up and now want to cast aside. Good Luck
6 juill. 2020 à 0 h 23
#33
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Quoting: moli92
Do you not understand that they can get their top choice of team if they waive their full NTC now rather than waiting a year and risking to go to their 20th ranked team?


No they dont. You dont understand. Every team still has a cap. Most desirable teams can afford to take Tampa's cap dumps. Its an illusion of choice not free agency. You're getting fed complete crap based on hope. Their are few destinations available.
6 juill. 2020 à 0 h 36
#34
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the oilers would love to have killorn but they simply can not afford him
6 juill. 2020 à 1 h 3
#35
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Quoting: Shibbal18
No they dont. You dont understand. Every team still has a cap. Most desirable teams can afford to take Tampa's cap dumps. Its an illusion of choice not free agency. You're getting fed complete crap based on hope. Their are few destinations available.


Many teams can take on their cap. It's just a matter of which team will take them and if they are leaving Tampa this offseason or next offseason. They can choose a good team now or risk going to a bad team later. It's not that hard to understand
6 juill. 2020 à 1 h 10
#36
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Edmonton has no cap space. They have 10.15M left of which 3M will go to qualify Athanasiou--he had a bad season (so far) and was traded but was a 30 goal scorer the year before so he'll get more than 3M in the end. Then they have Mike Green, Mike Smith, and 3 additional players to sign with 7M left.

And you want them to take on 4.45M for one player--the math simply doesn't work out.
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6 juill. 2020 à 1 h 13
#37
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Quoting: moli92
Many teams can take on their cap. It's just a matter of which team will take them and if they are leaving Tampa this offseason or next offseason. They can choose a good team now or risk going to a bad team later. It's not that hard to understand


Who? Colorado? you want to give up assets for cap dumps? Thats about it
6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 2
#38
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Quoting: moli92
Do you not understand that they can get their top choice of team if they waive their full NTC now rather than waiting a year and risking to go to their 20th ranked team?


I agree, Tampa doesn't have cap dumps as the players they may ask to waive all have value. Now if Johnson agrees to waive to a small number of teams this offseason(let's say 3-5), then Brisebois may not get as good of a return if he waits a year and there are 21 options. However, if Johnson decides to have more control over where he's going and likely get an increased role, who knows where he might be interested in going. The only real supposed info is that he doesn't want to go to Canada, and even that isn't confirmed. In this case, if Tampa had to retain slightly or not get full value/add a mid round pick in exchange for keeping Cirelli, Serg and Cernak, Brisebois likely pulls the trigger. Obviously there are limits to how much he'll give up, but a deal for Johnson should be workable with whomever he agrees to play for.
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6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 5
#39
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Quoting: JTBF81
I agree, Tampa doesn't have cap dumps as the players they may ask to waive all have value. Now if Johnson agrees to waive to a small number of teams this offseason(let's say 3-5), then Brisebois may not get as good of a return if he waits a year and there are 21 options. However, if Johnson decides to have more control over where he's going and likely get an increased role, who knows where he might be interested in going. The only real supposed info is that he doesn't want to go to Canada, and even that isn't confirmed. In this case, if Tampa had to retain slightly or not get full value/add a mid round pick in exchange for keeping Cirelli, Serg and Cernak, Brisebois likely pulls the trigger. Obviously there are limits to how much he'll give up, but a deal for Johnson should be workable with whomever he agrees to play for.


Exactly, he gets one of his top options now instead of a less desirable team later. May affect his trade value a bit but it makes sense for both the players and the team
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6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 5
#40
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Quoting: dca919
Edmonton has no cap space. They have 10.15M left of which 3M will go to qualify Athanasiou--he had a bad season (so far) and was traded but was a 30 goal scorer the year before so he'll get more than 3M in the end. Then they have Mike Green, Mike Smith, and 3 additional players to sign with 7M left.

And you want them to take on 4.45M for one player--the math simply doesn't work out.


https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1784433
6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 13
#41
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Modifié 6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 19
Quoting: Shibbal18
Who? Colorado? you want to give up assets for cap dumps? Thats about it


They are still productive forwards, not pure cap dumps. There are a couple of teams that may will be willing and able to take them. Maybe they won't be able to outright but I bet teams that are trying to be competitive will be willing to take them on and dump a different contract to another team to free up the space, just like EDM is dumping Russell here to be able to fit Killorn. VAN, PHI, DAL, COL, MIN, NSH, etc are some options
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6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 24
#42
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Quoting: moli92
They are still productive forwards, not pure cap dumps. There are a couple of teams that may will be willing and able to take them. Maybe they won't be able to outright but I bet teams that are trying to be competitive will be willing to take them on and dump a different contract to another team to free up the space, just like EDM is dumping Russell here to be able to fit Killorn. VAN, PHI, DAL, COL, MIN, NSH, etc are some options


Killorn costs more than Russell and it still puts the onus on Tampa to trade him again. Why would NJ do that favor for a late 2nd. They know that hurts Tampa. Even the GMs are competing, when they can kick someone when theyre down, they'll do it. This is Toronto Maple Leaf fan theory, "were at the top of the league so everyone will do us favors because were good", thats not reality. If Tampa is feilding half an AHL team, that does the entire Eastern Conference a favor
6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 25
#43
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Quoting: Shibbal18
Your math is based on the goodwill of players you used up and now want to cast aside. Good luck.

None of the players are used up or have been used. Bottom line is that the nhl is a business, and what is best for the team takes priority over any player. Luckily for Tampa, the guys they want to move aren't cap dumps and have at least some value to quite a few teams. Tampa easily gets solid value on Killorn, likely takes a mid pick for Paquette and adds a small sweetener to move 1 year of Coburn(or if they plan to keep him as a #6/7 and move Serg back to the right, that's also an option). Even if Johnson doesn't waive, Tampa would buy him out as a last resort to save enough space to keep the rfa's. Tampa always knew they were losing 2 of Killorn, Gourde, Johnson and Palat after this season; Brisebois made the Coleman and Goodrow trades both for this years cup run but also knowing these losses were inevitable. Tampa's situation is far from as bad as you and others try and make it out to be.
6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 30
#44
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Quoting: Shibbal18
Killorn costs more than Russell and it still puts the onus on Tampa to trade him again. Why would NJ do that favor for a late 2nd. They know that hurts Tampa. Even the GMs are competing, when they can kick someone when theyre down, they'll do it. This is Toronto Maple Leaf fan theory, "were at the top of the league so everyone will do us favors because were good", thats not reality. If Tampa is feilding half an AHL team, that does the entire Eastern Conference a favor


Doesn't have to be NJD. Any team willing to take on extra cap for 1 year will be paid to do it. They are incentivized by the pick. Are you really arguing that no team is willing to take on any cap dumps right now?
6 juill. 2020 à 2 h 40
#45
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Quoting: moli92
They are still productive forwards, not pure cap dumps. There are a couple of teams that may will be willing and able to take them. Maybe they won't be able to outright but I bet teams that are trying to be competitive will be willing to take them on and dump a different contract to another team to free up the space, just like EDM is dumping Russell here to be able to fit Killorn. VAN, PHI, DAL, COL, MIN, NSH, etc are some options


Yes, there are quite a few teams that would be interested in any of Killorn, Johnson, Gourde or Palat. None is overpaid for what they bring to a team. This Shibbal is just one of many with the mindset of, "all 30 GM's are out to get Tampa, and none will work with them aside from offering pennies on the dollar etc etc" I've seen plenty of them on various sites, almost always fans of a division rival, a team thinking they will easily get Serg or Cirelli, or someone who always cries about how.unfair Tampa has it bc of taxes. They never understand how Tampa runs things and continually gets players to buy in to the elc-bridge-long term contract model. The only real difference this offseason that slightly complicates things is that the progression of Tampa's top elc's outpaced the relaxation of the most of the NTC's by a year. Other than that, the flat cap is not really the hindrance for them.
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6 juill. 2020 à 8 h 58
#46
Shibbal18
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Quoting: moli92
Doesn't have to be NJD. Any team willing to take on extra cap for 1 year will be paid to do it. They are incentivized by the pick. Are you really arguing that no team is willing to take on any cap dumps right now?


Quoting: JTBF81
Yes, there are quite a few teams that would be interested in any of Killorn, Johnson, Gourde or Palat. None is overpaid for what they bring to a team. This Shibbal is just one of many with the mindset of, "all 30 GM's are out to get Tampa, and none will work with them aside from offering pennies on the dollar etc etc" I've seen plenty of them on various sites, almost always fans of a division rival, a team thinking they will easily get Serg or Cirelli, or someone who always cries about how.unfair Tampa has it bc of taxes. They never understand how Tampa runs things and continually gets players to buy in to the elc-bridge-long term contract model. The only real difference this offseason that slightly complicates things is that the progression of Tampa's top elc's outpaced the relaxation of the most of the NTC's by a year. Other than that, the flat cap is not really the hindrance for them.


Maybe if the cap was going up, you would have a point, but GMs need to prepare for a 3 year flat cap, youre both delusional
6 juill. 2020 à 12 h 49
#47
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Quoting: Shibbal18
Maybe if the cap was going up, you would have a point, but GMs need to prepare for a 3 year flat cap, youre both delusional


Lol ok sure. If you think that no teams are willing to take on any cap at all, even with picks as incentives, then I don't know what to tell you. Russell's contract only has 1 year left anyway so it's not a long term risk. A majority of AGMs on this site involve trades with imbalanced cap hits. Why are you only targeting this one? Is it just because Tampa is a good team? A lot of BUF posts involve trading Ristolainen, Johansson, etc which is the same principle as TBL trading Killorn, Palat, etc. I dont understand why you are so adamant that nobody would take them when I have listed multiple teams that could
6 juill. 2020 à 13 h 57
#48
Shibbal18
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Quoting: moli92
Lol ok sure. If you think that no teams are willing to take on any cap at all, even with picks as incentives, then I don't know what to tell you. Russell's contract only has 1 year left anyway so it's not a long term risk. A majority of AGMs on this site involve trades with imbalanced cap hits. Why are you only targeting this one? Is it just because Tampa is a good team? A lot of BUF posts involve trading Ristolainen, Johansson, etc which is the same principle as TBL trading Killorn, Palat, etc. I dont understand why you are so adamant that nobody would take them when I have listed multiple teams that could


I dont have time to go through every post on here, but making Tampa fans sad by bring them back to reality is pretty satisfying, you just keep the conversation going by saying the same thing over and over again.
6 juill. 2020 à 14 h 13
#49
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Quoting: Shibbal18
I dont have time to go through every post on here, but making Tampa fans sad by bring them back to reality is pretty satisfying, you just keep the conversation going by saying the same thing over and over again.


I only say the same thing over again because I have to keep explaining basic things to you because you cant comprehend that there are teams willing to add forwards like Killorn, Johnson, Palat, etc to their team. I find it funny how your logic only applies to TBL but when it comes to other teams you have no problem with them trading for or trading away cap dumps. Even your own AGM posts involve trading guys like Risto to teams like WPG and CGY and get little to no cap in return (plus you are expecting a 1st + another asset in return lol). How would they be able to take Risto's cap hit but not Killorn/Johnson/Palat's? And
how can you argue that teams wont take on players like Russell with big cap hits when they are being paid in picks to do so but you expect teams to give up a 1st+ for a guy like Risto with an even bigger cap hit with more term? Youre completely contradicting yourself
6 juill. 2020 à 14 h 38
#50
Shibbal18
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Quoting: moli92
I only say the same thing over again because I have to keep explaining basic things to you because you cant comprehend that there are teams willing to add forwards like Killorn, Johnson, Palat, etc to their team. I find it funny how your logic only applies to TBL but when it comes to other teams you have no problem with them trading for or trading away cap dumps. Even your own AGM posts involve trading guys like Risto to teams like WPG and CGY and get little to no cap in return (plus you are expecting a 1st + another asset in return lol). How would they be able to take Risto's cap hit but not Killorn/Johnson/Palat's? And
how can you argue that teams wont take on players like Russell with big cap hits when they are being paid in picks to do so but you expect teams to give up a 1st+ for a guy like Risto with an even bigger cap hit with more term? Youre completely contradicting yourself


Yes and I keep having to remind you that I fully understand but its not their decisions, its the players decision and this whole phantom theory that they get to choose a better destination because they have a full no trade doesnt make sense because theyre not going to put teams on their trade list that they have 0 interest going to. Your theory is nonsensical.
 
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