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Skinner at 9M AAV would be a mistake for Buffalo change my mind

Créé par: Zwui21
Équipe: 2019-20 Sabres de Buffalo
Date de création initiale: 30 mai 2019
Publié: 30 mai 2019
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Bob MacKenzie said the Buffalo Sabres are closing in on an 8-year, $72 million (9 million AAV) deal with pending UFA Jeff Skinner. The 27-yr old winger potted 40 goals last season was a career high, while also macthing his career high in points (63).
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TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
1583 000 000 $47 741 667 $0 $3 700 000 $35 258 333 $
Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
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3 500 000 $3 500 000 $
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10 000 000 $10 000 000 $
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6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
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UFA - 4
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3 000 000 $3 000 000 $
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925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
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3 650 000 $3 650 000 $
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UFA - 1
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1 050 000 $1 050 000 $
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2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
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5 400 000 $5 400 000 $
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UFA - 3
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2 750 000 $2 750 000 $
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UFA - 2
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2 250 000 $2 250 000 $
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1 300 000 $1 300 000 $
DD
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925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 850 000 $$3M)
DG/DD
UFA - 2
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3 387 500 $3 387 500 $
DD
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812 500 $812 500 $
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UFA - 1

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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 51
#1
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I mean, he did score 40 goals... It's a lot of money but not many players can score 40 goals in this league. I'd say it's an overpayment by about $1.5M per year, but Buffalo would be crazy to let him walk.
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 51
#2
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they gotta keep him. cant keep taking one step forward then two steps backwards
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 53
#3
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Quoting: TanSor
I mean, he did score 40 goals... It's a lot of money but not many players can score 40 goals in this league. I'd say it's an overpayment by about $1.5M per year, but Buffalo would be crazy to let him walk.


Well teams "should let him walk" if the team thinks they can spend 9m better. Not saying the Sabres can find better value elsewhere but time will tell if it's good signing.
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 54
#4
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Quoting: TanSor
I mean, he did score 40 goals... It's a lot of money but not many players can score 40 goals in this league. I'd say it's an overpayment by about $1.5M per year, but Buffalo would be crazy to let him walk.


I get it and I kinda agree. But man, this guy have never scored more than 63 points in his 9 year NHL career. This season he got 40 goals (first time) but if you look back, in two of the three seasons prior to this one he didn't even crack 30.

Risky risky move for Buffalo IMO, and if Skinner gets 9M... Jesus Christ the prices of UFAs are gonna get crazy. Duchene and Panarin are definitely smiling
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 56
#5
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Yeah.. I just wouldn't pay that. The downgrade to guys like Nyquist/Zuccarello etc isn't really 3+ million in my opinion
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 57
#6
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$9M oof that's too much. I could understand $8M or $8,5M, but anything over that is just ridiculous...
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 57
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Agreed. Mark stone resigned to 9.5 million. He’s nowhere near mark stone. Big overpayment by Botterel
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30 mai 2019 à 17 h 59
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Quoting: mhockey91
Agreed. Mark stone resigned to 9.5 million. He’s nowhere near mark stone. Big overpayment by Botterel


Yup, and the problem is that stupid overpayments like this one set precedents and drive the overall UFAs prices up. Damn
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 1
#9
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Quoting: Zwui21
Yup, and the problem is that stupid overpayments like this one set precedents and drive the overall UFAs prices up. Damn[
Quoting: MelonVK
Yeah.. I just wouldn't pay that. The downgrade to guys like Nyquist/Zuccarello etc isn't really 3+ million in my opinion


Youre implying that those guys would want to come to Buffalo. And him driving up the price benefits us in some ways no? Division rivals now have to pay more for their free agents (Marner, Panarin, Bob)? Its how the league works. It goes up every year. You have to realize only four players have scored more 5 on 5 goals than him in 8 years. Kane,Taveres Stamkos and Ovi. 9M is alot but you have to overpay.
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 5
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Quoting: Facebookfighter


The way I see it there's plenty of wingers available on the UFA market. They won't all have other places to sign, most teams aren't really that far from the cap. The ones that are are either not really competing, or like Florida/NYR have plans only for the biggest fish
30 mai 2019 à 18 h 11
#11
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It's really overpayment, but we have no choice, we can't just let him go after he's so perfectly fit into our team. If you look at our list, Skinner's departure will be disastrous, because I don't believe in our GM and that he will be able to find an adequate replacement Skinner.
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 13
#12
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Quoting: MelonVK
The way I see it there's plenty of wingers available on the UFA market. They won't all have other places to sign, most teams aren't really that far from the cap. The ones that are are either not really competing, or like Florida/NYR have plans only for the biggest fish


Hes earning 10.8% of the cap = Bergeron. 19 Players from the 18/19 who have scored 25+ goals and are signed to UFA Contracts, the average % against the Cap = 10.58%. He's getting "over paid" by .22%
30 mai 2019 à 18 h 27
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Quoting: Facebookfighter
Hes earning 10.8% of the cap = Bergeron. 19 Players from the 18/19 who have scored 25+ goals and are signed to UFA Contracts, the average % against the Cap = 10.58%. He's getting "over paid" by .22%


Yeah but he's not Patrice Bergeron, is he? And again where does he realistically sign for 9m? Cause he's only getting that 8th year in Buffalo. I'd guess Florida, if they miss out on Panarin, and maybe Vancouver or the Islanders could sign Skinner for 7x9m. I'd play that one a bit cool if I were the Sabres is all I'm saying
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 42
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It's a slight overpay but hes a UFA so what are you gonna do.
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 43
#15
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Quoting: MelonVK
Yeah but he's not Patrice Bergeron, is he? And again where does he realistically sign for 9m? Cause he's only getting that 8th year in Buffalo. I'd guess Florida, if they miss out on Panarin, and maybe Vancouver or the Islanders could sign Skinner for 7x9m. I'd play that one a bit cool if I were the Sabres is all I'm saying


He contributed more analytically offensively than Bergeron. If you lose him who does Buffalo have that can match his production? They'd have to over pay their FA's too. Skinner makes them in the conversation and possibly be able to convince FA's that Buffalo is a place to be.

Other teams that could sign Skinner:
W/ Cap Dump: SJS, MIN,
Losing Marner: TOR
Everyone else: CAR, NYR, NYI, COL, NJD,OTT, PHI, FLA, CBJ
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 49
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Skinner has 106 the last three years, he ranks third behind Kane and Ovechkin in that period. I'm cool with the $9 mil.
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30 mai 2019 à 18 h 57
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No. Deal with it.
30 mai 2019 à 19 h 6
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Quoting: Facebookfighter
He contributed more analytically offensively than Bergeron. If you lose him who does Buffalo have that can match his production? They'd have to over pay their FA's too. Skinner makes them in the conversation and possibly be able to convince FA's that Buffalo is a place to be.

Other teams that could sign Skinner:
W/ Cap Dump: SJS, MIN,
Losing Marner: TOR
Everyone else: CAR, NYR, NYI, COL, NJD,OTT, PHI, FLA, CBJ


WAR? Check /82 or /60 min.

SJS has Labanc, Meier (the guy about as far down from Skinner as Bergeron is up on him in war/60) and even if they dump Karlsson they'd have to let go of Thornton and Pavelski and get rid of another contract. Minnesota could realistically fit a contract, but it looks more like they're tearing down atm. Toronto also has to lose Marner for absolutely no cap space back. If I think 9m for Skinner is iffy I'm screaming at paying Marner 11.

He's not signing in Carolina again, is he? Rangers have said they will only halt the rebuild for exceptional talent; I assume that is Panarin/EK only, but that's up for debate. Colorado has an internal cap and have a bunch of young guys to pay. After giving Rantanen roughly 9 I'm 95+% sure they won't go for Skinner. The Devils could happen, if he thinks that's a better place to sign. Ottawa is atrocious and somehow even more cheap than they are bad. Philly has so many contracts to sign, it could work if they birdge Provorov, Sanheim, Koncecny and does the same with Patrick next year. Florida is possible, for sure. Cbj would be one of the leading candidates if they fail to sign Duchene.

I'm not saying you don't have a case, I'm not saying it's out of this world. I'm saying if I'm the GM and I'm presented with 9m x 8 take it or leave it I might keep my head cool and bet on no one else signing a better deal over 7 years.
30 mai 2019 à 19 h 30
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losing teams have to pay a premium. winning teams can convince people to sign at a slight discount or if there's no state income tax. new york has an fairly high state income tax rate at the top earning level. this is the cost of locking up skinner before free agency and hopefully help entice some other free agents once he's in the fold. you have to take the chance that he can score at a high clip along side eichel for the next 5 years and live the with the end of the contract with a cap that seems to rise at a decent rate.
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30 mai 2019 à 19 h 49
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Quoting: MelonVK
WAR? Check /82 or /60 min.

SJS has Labanc, Meier (the guy about as far down from Skinner as Bergeron is up on him in war/60) and even if they dump Karlsson they'd have to let go of Thornton and Pavelski and get rid of another contract. Minnesota could realistically fit a contract, but it looks more like they're tearing down atm. Toronto also has to lose Marner for absolutely no cap space back. If I think 9m for Skinner is iffy I'm screaming at paying Marner 11.

He's not signing in Carolina again, is he? Rangers have said they will only halt the rebuild for exceptional talent; I assume that is Panarin/EK only, but that's up for debate. Colorado has an internal cap and have a bunch of young guys to pay. After giving Rantanen roughly 9 I'm 95+% sure they won't go for Skinner. The Devils could happen, if he thinks that's a better place to sign. Ottawa is atrocious and somehow even more cheap than they are bad. Philly has so many contracts to sign, it could work if they birdge Provorov, Sanheim, Koncecny and does the same with Patrick next year. Florida is possible, for sure. Cbj would be one of the leading candidates if they fail to sign Duchene.

I'm not saying you don't have a case, I'm not saying it's out of this world. I'm saying if I'm the GM and I'm presented with 9m x 8 take it or leave it I might keep my head cool and bet on no one else signing a better deal over 7 years.


Isn't WAR combined? And I think if TOR were to take Skinner it would be because he was offer sheeted. I don't know, with Buffalo's history with the FA market, I wouldn't let him get there
30 mai 2019 à 19 h 59
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Quoting: Facebookfighter
Isn't WAR combined? And I think if TOR were to take Skinner it would be because he was offer sheeted. I don't know, with Buffalo's history with the FA market, I wouldn't let him get there


Bergy played like 61 games, that's why. I hear you, but I still think with the competition coming from the likes of CBJ and NJ there's a decent chance he'd go with the devil he knows. I think this offer-sheet saga is overblown as usual, cause it has happened like once, and getting Marner for 11.something for 5 years, is that really worth like 4 first rounders? His production and following that his perception has been blown out of proportion mostly thanks to Tavares.

I've been wrong before, and I'm sort of bending to that 9m isn't the worst for a 5-on-5 driver like Skinner. The most eye-raising part of this entire storyline might be that he was traded for basically peanuts and Pu
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30 mai 2019 à 23 h 13
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I had a chance to talk with a former Sabres GM and at the beginning of season he said $9,000,000 was the magic figure. But here my friends is the bottom line, he provided 18% of the Sabre goals last year same as Ovechkin but less than Draisaitl 21%. If the Sabres do not sign him, then I think we are going to go to another rebuild stage and go into a full take on contracts for picks mode and suffer for another 3 year. I like many of the prospects but none of them are projected to provide anything close to that. As many of you has stated, Buffalo would need to over pay for a UFA and that is simply not going to happen. If it has to be $9,000,000 I think the Sabres need to do it. In 4 years, that will appear to be a bargain.

Quoting: TanSor
I mean, he did score 40 goals... It's a lot of money but not many players can score 40 goals in this league. I'd say it's an overpayment by about $1.5M per year, but Buffalo would be crazy to let him walk.


Quoting: linehan10
they gotta keep him. cant keep taking one step forward then two steps backwards


Quoting: palhal
Well teams "should let him walk" if the team thinks they can spend 9m better. Not saying the Sabres can find better value elsewhere but time will tell if it's good signing.


Quoting: Zwui21
I get it and I kinda agree. But man, this guy have never scored more than 63 points in his 9 year NHL career. This season he got 40 goals (first time) but if you look back, in two of the three seasons prior to this one he didn't even crack 30.

Risky risky move for Buffalo IMO, and if Skinner gets 9M... Jesus Christ the prices of UFAs are gonna get crazy. Duchene and Panarin are definitely smiling


Quoting: MelonVK
Yeah.. I just wouldn't pay that. The downgrade to guys like Nyquist/Zuccarello etc isn't really 3+ million in my opinion


Quoting: BurgerBoss
$9M oof that's too much. I could understand $8M or $8,5M, but anything over that is just ridiculous...


Quoting: mhockey91
Agreed. Mark stone resigned to 9.5 million. He’s nowhere near mark stone. Big overpayment by Botterel


Quoting: Facebookfighter


Quoting: Cheesesauce
It's really overpayment, but we have no choice, we can't just let him go after he's so perfectly fit into our team. If you look at our list, Skinner's departure will be disastrous, because I don't believe in our GM and that he will be able to find an adequate replacement Skinner.


Quoting: littlejerryseinfeld
It's a slight overpay but hes a UFA so what are you gonna do.


Quoting: ashleyschaeffer
losing teams have to pay a premium. winning teams can convince people to sign at a slight discount or if there's no state income tax. new york has an fairly high state income tax rate at the top earning level. this is the cost of locking up skinner before free agency and hopefully help entice some other free agents once he's in the fold. you have to take the chance that he can score at a high clip along side eichel for the next 5 years and live the with the end of the contract with a cap that seems to rise at a decent rate.
 
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