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Nailed it. I mean, how much could really change in 30 months?! ??‍♀️

Créé par: rebecca
Publié: 19 déc. 2018 à 8 h 44

Kraken de Seattle

MASSE SALARIALE PROJETÉEInfo-bulle : 68 567 237 $
ESPACE PROJETÉ SOUS LE PLAFONDInfo-bulle : 12 932 763 $
DRAFTED: 29/30
ATTAQUANTS (15 - 27 670 679 $)CONDITIONSPOSSTATUTÂGE2021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-272027-28
Logo de Flyers de PhiladelphieHayes, KevinNMCCLNH293 571 429 $4 500 001 $0 $0 $NMC3 571 429 $3 750 001 $0 $3 750 000 $M-NTC3 571 429 $3 250 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC3 571 429 $2 625 000 $0 $1 250 000 $M-NTC3 571 429 $2 625 000 $0 $1 250 000 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Flyers de Philadelphievan Riemsdyk, JamesAG, ADLNH327 000 000 $7 000 000 $0 $1 000 000 $7 000 000 $5 000 000 $0 $1 000 000 $
UFA
Logo de Oilers d'EdmontonNeal, JamesAD, AGLNH335 750 000 $5 750 000 $0 $0 $5 750 000 $5 750 000 $0 $0 $
UFA
Logo de Blue Jackets de ColumbusNyquist, GustavAD, ADIR312 750 000 $3 000 000 $0 $0 $2 750 000 $2 500 000 $0 $0 $
UFA
Logo de Jets de WinnipegPerreault, MathieuAG, AD, CLNH33
UFA
Logo de Devils du New JerseyJohnsson, AndreasAG, ADLNH263 400 000 $2 500 000 $0 $1 750 000 $3 400 000 $2 500 000 $0 $1 750 000 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Devils du New JerseyBratt, JesperAG, AGLNH222 750 000 $3 450 000 $0 $0 $
Le joueur est éligible à l'arbitrageRFA
Logo de Ducks d'AnaheimMilano, SonnyAG, ADIR251 700 000 $1 800 000 $0 $0 $
RFA
Logo de Sénateurs d'OttawaPaul, NicholasC, AGLNH26749 250 $832 500 $0 $0 $
UFA
Logo de Rangers de New YorkGauthier, JulienELCADLNH23
RFA
Logo de Lightning de Tampa BayRaddysh, TaylorELCADMineures23
RFA
Logo de Golden Knights de VegasSikura, DylanAG, AD, CMineures26
UFA
Logo de Capitals de WashingtonSheary, ConorAG, ADLNH29
UFA
Logo de Islanders de New YorkHo-Sang, JoshuaAD, CMineures25
UFA
Logo de Canadiens de MontréalHudon, CharlesAG, AG, ADLNH27
Formation créée sur CapFriendly.com | Suivez @CapFriendly sur Twitter
DÉFENSEUR (11 - 35 738 225 $)CONDITIONSPOSSTATUTÂGE2021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-272027-28
Logo de Devils du New JerseySubban, P.K.DDLNH329 000 000 $8 000 000 $0 $6 000 000 $
UFA
Logo de Sharks de San JoseBurns, BrentM-NTCDDLNH365 280 000 $4 950 000 $0 $3 500 000 $M-NTC5 280 000 $4 290 000 $0 $3 500 000 $M-NTC5 280 000 $3 300 000 $0 $2 000 000 $M-NTC5 280 000 $3 300 000 $0 $2 000 000 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Wild du MinnesotaSpurgeon, JaredNMCDDLNH317 575 000 $9 000 000 $0 $4 000 000 $NMC7 575 000 $6 000 000 $0 $0 $NMC7 575 000 $8 000 000 $0 $0 $NMC7 575 000 $8 000 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC7 575 000 $7 000 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC7 575 000 $6 025 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Blues de St-LouisKrug, ToreyNTCDGLNH306 500 000 $4 000 000 $0 $0 $NTC6 500 000 $8 000 000 $0 $0 $NTC6 500 000 $8 500 000 $0 $0 $NTC6 500 000 $8 500 000 $0 $0 $NTC6 500 000 $6 500 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC6 500 000 $6 000 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Ducks d'AnaheimManson, JoshM-NTCDDLNH292 050 000 $2 225 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Kings de Los AngelesMäättä, OlliDGLNH263 333 225 $3 333 361 $0 $0 $
UFA
Logo de Blackhawks de ChicagoZadorov, NikitaDG/DDLNH26
Le joueur est éligible à l'arbitrageRFA
Logo de Oilers d'EdmontonBear, EthanDDLNH242 000 000 $2 500 000 $0 $0 $
Le joueur est éligible à l'arbitrageRFA
Logo de Blues de St-LouisDunn, VinceDG/DDLNH24
Le joueur est éligible à l'arbitrageRFA
Logo de Stars de DallasPysyk, MarkDDLNH29
UFA
Logo de Blue Jackets de ColumbusBayreuther, GavinDG/DDMineures27
UFA
GARDIENS (3 - 5 158 333 $)CONDITIONSPOSSTATUTÂGE2021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-272027-28
Logo de Canucks de VancouverHoltby, BradenM-NTCGLNH314 300 000 $5 700 000 $0 $0 $M-NTC
UFA
Logo de Kings de Los AngelesPetersen, CalGLNH26858 333 $1 000 000 $0 $0 $
UFA
Logo de Sharks de San JoseHill, AdinGLNH25
Le joueur est éligible à l'arbitrageRFA

Statistiques

CONTRATS STANDARDS DE JOUEUR Info-bulle1784432
PLAFOND SALARIAL Info-bulle81 500 000 $82 500 000 $83 500 000 $87 500 000 $92 000 000 $92 000 000 $92 000 000 $
MASSE SALARIALE PROJETÉE Info-bulle68 567 237 $41 826 429 $22 926 429 $22 926 429 $17 646 429 $14 075 000 $0 $
ESPACE PROJETÉ SOUS LE PLAFOND Info-bulle12 932 763 $40 673 571 $60 573 571 $64 573 571 $74 353 571 $77 925 000 $92 000 000 $
DÉPENSES EN SALAIRE ESTIMÉES Info-bulle69 540 862 $37 790 001 $23 050 000 $22 425 000 $16 125 000 $12 025 000 $0 $
BONIS DE PERFORMANCE POTENTIELSInfo-bulle0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $

Légende

Exempté du ballottage
Exempté du ballottage
Candidat à un report de contrat
Candidat à un report de contrat
Blessure
Blessé
Information à confirmer
Information à confirmer
Exempté de la limite des 50 contrats
Exempté des SPC
Bonis de performance
Bonis de performance potentiels
Joueur autonome sans compensation
Joueur autonome avec compensation
123
Deux volets
35+
Contrat 35 ans et +
NMC
Clause de non-mouvement
NTC
Clause de non-échange
ELC
Contrat d’entrée
SR
Transaction avec retenue de salaire

Protected Players

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19 déc. 2018 à 12 h 5
#1
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Burns>Roy, Subban> Ekholm, Neal>Foo
rebecca a aimé ceci.
19 déc. 2018 à 16 h 19
#2
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Quoting: Club_de_Hockey_le_Canadien
Burns>Roy, Subban> Ekholm, Neal>Foo


Are you suggesting that San Jose will protect Burns in 2021 (and Nashville will protect Subban and Calgary will protect Neal)?

Looking at the big ticket players (>$4M AAV) that are already signed for 2021, I have on this preliminary roster, going from from MOST to LEAST likely to be EXPOSED, I would say they would be:

Neal - Burns - Manson - Van Riemsdyk - Maata - and lastly Subban.

It’s not that I think Ekholm (or Ellis or Josi for that matter) will be more likely to be exposed over Subban, it’s that I reckon Poile will be making a trade in the next year to move out one of the “big 4” D in Nashville. After getting burned and losing (a much younger) Neal in 2017 with Vegas, he won’t sit back and wait this time and lose PK for nothing to Seattle. A similar thing could occur in Pittsburgh with Maata as Letang, Dumoulin, and Schultz are the future there so Maata will likely be dealt. Any of these players have a chance to be traded but I don’t see many options for James Neal - about the only thing that’s gone wrong for the Flames in 2018 thus far.
19 déc. 2018 à 16 h 23
#3
Habs/Pens fan
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Quoting: rebecca
Are you suggesting that San Jose will protect Burns in 2021 (and Nashville will protect Subban and Calgary will protect Neal)?

Looking at the big ticket players (>$4M AAV) that are already signed for 2021, I have on this preliminary roster, going from from MOST to LEAST likely to be EXPOSED, I would say they would be:

Neal - Burns - Manson - Van Riemsdyk - Maata - and lastly Subban.

It’s not that I think Ekholm (or Ellis or Josi for that matter) will be more likely to be exposed over Subban, it’s that I reckon Poile will be making a trade in the next year to move out one of the “big 4” D in Nashville. After getting burned and losing (a much younger) Neal in 2017 with Vegas, he won’t sit back and wait this time and lose PK for nothing to Seattle. A similar thing could occur in Pittsburgh with Maata as Letang, Dumoulin, and Schultz are the future there so Maata will likely be dealt. Any of these players have a chance to be traded but I don’t see many options for James Neal - about the only thing that’s gone wrong for the Flames in 2018 thus far.


Schultz will not be on the team in 2021
rebecca a aimé ceci.
19 déc. 2018 à 16 h 38
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Modifié 19 déc. 2018 à 17 h 17
Analysis of Draft Quality

Reflecting on this, and having done a couple of mocks for the Vegas draft - I am cautiously optimistic for the Seattle Metropolitans (or whatever they choose as their name - a Cup winning name tho is hard to argue with). Compared to last year (it’s amazing it was JUST a year ago), I think that the potential for young players to be available seems greater than it was for Vegas. Maybe it’s just me, but because (with just a couple exceptions) any player currently playing in the NHL or AHL is FAIR GAME, that leaves a plethora of youthful talent out there.

But that’s the thing with talent. It’s potential. I imagine that in the next 30 months, the cream will rise to the top (and on to protected lists) and the guys we thought would be top 6 players turn out to be tweeners after all. Right now if you’re the optimistic type (like me) you’re salivating at the prospects available.

One thing I have been wondering. While it wasn’t official, most teams were working under the assumption that Seattle would start in 2020. This meant that players who only turned pro this year - think of Donato, Steel, Pettersson, Dahlin, Terry, Hart, Heiskenen etc etc etc - would be exempt! Knowing that Seattle was starting 2021, would we have seen as many players turn pro this year (particularly those under 20, obviously)? Compared to the crop that turned pro in 2017 or 2016, this year’s group at both the NHL and AHL level (which I follow closely) is head and shoulders better. While the League seems adamant that the rules won’t change, I am wondering if there will be a loophole added so teams (thinking of teams like Anaheim and Calgary for starters) can not worry about having to protect these suddenly up for grabs 2018/19 pro rookies???!! ANYONE ELSE got that feeling?

Considerations

1) Obviously this is a Preliminary Draft. I’m planning to revisit the protected list myself every 2-3 months and see how things change. Next re-draft will be in a couple months right after the Trade Deadline. I’ll look at who is new and who’s newly exposed and talk about the implications for Seattle.
***I’d love feedback on the protected lists as much as the drafted team***. I’m a hockey nerd to be sure but my knowledge of teams beyond Toronto (and the Atlantic Div generally) isn’t quite at the same level.

2) For simplicity, I opted for a 7-3–1 rather than an 8-1 split when it comes to the protected lists. I recognize that a team may opt to go the 8-1 route but in almost all cases I think that teams will either make pre-emptive trades or work something out with Seattle.

3) While it could be a fun exercise to only draft players currently signed for 2021, the reality (at least for the next 8 months or so) is that the majority of potential players are going to be on new contracts (possibly with new teams) or on expiring contracts in 2021. I did draft a few players who’s contact expires a few days after the draft. In most cases these players will likely never dress for Seattle but some I reckon will get a good offer from the Totems/Metropolitans (or whatever name they settle on).

4) Extending from 3, as most players will be on new contracts prior to the draft, it took a bit of projecting for me to pick a team that comes it at $75-90M (considering cap floor and ceiling, and that a half dozen will not be on the roster). I am confident that as budgeted this is about a $90M team, tho I reckon a couple players will be traded for picks or let loose in 2021 FA to bring that down a titch.
hpe0415 a aimé ceci.
19 déc. 2018 à 16 h 45
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Quoting: Hockeylover360
Schultz will not be on the team in 2021


Perhaps. Perhaps not. At some point in the next oh say 3 to 7 years give or take Pittsburgh is gonna have to do what they have done every other decade or so and spectacularly tank as they dismantle a championship roster when everyone gets too old. Obviously Crosby will stay til he retires but once they miss the playoffs 2 or 3 times I think he’ll call it quits. I don’t think the Pens are anywhere near that place tho. Schultz brings an important pretense on the blueline and, for the right price, could be part of a team that continues to be relevant thru the middle of the next decade in what is looking like a mediocre Metro moving forward.

Anyways, it’s pretty tough to say precisely who will and willn’t be on a team 30 months from now. I’d say that yes, the odds favour Schultz leaving. If he does, would Maata be in the Top 3 D one PGH, at least in terms of their protected list?
 
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