Modifié 16 sept. 2018 à 12 h 56
Quoting: The_Architect
"So much more value"? The 5 million you're saving on cap is the value.
Agreed. They'll definitely be some cap savings.
But Nylander won't realistically get over $7,000,000.
Ehlers ($6,000,000 x 7) and Larkin ($6,100,000 x 5) are his best comparable's (both contracts start this year).
A fair assumption for Nylander's contract is probably in the range of $6,500,000 x 6 years (I'll use this below).
So if we're assessing the value of both players (including contracts):
1. Gallagher (at $2,750,000) saves $3,750,000 in cap-space.
PLUS
2. Gallagher becomes a UFA after 3 seasons vs Nylander's 6.
MINUS
3. Gallagher may not re-sign (even if he does, UFA contracts are expensive).
MINUS
4. Gallagher has an injury history - Nylander has never been injured.
MINUS
5. Gallagher is 26 years old - Nylander is only 22 years old.
MINUS
6. Gallagher is in his prime - Nylander still has huge upside potential.
MINUS
7. Gallagher has a 54 point career high - Nylander's career low is 61 points.
MINUS
8. Gallagher has a career average 0.58 points per game - Nylander's is 0.75.
MINUS
9. Gallagher has no proven chemistry with Matthews - Nylander does.
MINUS
10. Gallagher definitely can't play center - Nylander might be a good center.
MINUS
Overall, the cap savings provide a lot of value (and so do Gallagher's intangibles).
But the value is almost completely offset by Gallagher's age, limited upside, 3 year term, and UFA expiry status.
With that considered: Nylander is the better player now and has the potential to be a much better player down the road.
For these reasons, I think the Leafs deserve more value (assets) from the trade.