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A true playoff team, just short of Stanley Cup contenders

Créé par: JP_knows_it_all
Équipe: 2019-20 Devils du New Jersey
Date de création initiale: 8 août 2018
Publié: 8 août 2018
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Made a mistake with the salary cap. It should be 83M$, not 8.3M$. So the Devils have a cap hit of 70.8M$ and 12.2M$ of cap space in 2019-2020, in this scenario.

Zacha have a 45pts 2018-2019 season and NJD decides to bridge him.

Woods and Stantini are signed before the 2018-2019 training camp.

The Faulk trade happens in January 2019.

Kinkaid leaves the Devils to become a starter somewhere else.

McGinn is a good veteran, responsable defensively, capable of chipping in offensively. He's a nice depth addition.

M.McLeod will play the wing for the first 2 seasons of his career (2018-2019 & 2019-2020), but will soon (at the end of the '19-'20 season) take Zacha's spot as the team #2 centerman, pushing Zacha down to the #3 spot and making Zajac a trade/buyout candidate for the summer of 2020.
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
RFAANSCAP HIT
1950 000 $
22 000 000 $
76 250 000 $
1775 000 $
1925 000 $
32 150 000 $
2975 000 $
33 450 000 $
UFAANSCAP HIT
22 475 000 $
11 500 000 $
11 850 000 $
Transactions
NJD
  1. Faulk, Justin
  2. Choix de 4e ronde en 2019 (CAR)
CAR
  1. Studenic, Marian
  2. Choix de 5e ronde en 2020 (NJD)
Détails additionnels:
- 2019 NJD 1st round pick
Rachats de contrats
Frais appliqués
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2020
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
2021
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
2022
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
Logo de NJD
2019
Logo de CAR
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
238 300 000 $59 508 333 $0 $3 392 500 $-51 208 333 $

Formation

Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Hall, Taylor
3 000 000 $3 000 000 $
AG
UFA - 1
Hischier, Nico
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 850 000 $$3M)
C
UFA - 1
Bratt, Jesper
749 167 $749 167 $ (Bonis de performance42 500 $$42K)
AD, AG
UFA - 1
McLeod, Michael
863 333 $863 333 $ (Bonis de performance500 000 $$500K)
C
RFA - 2
Zacha, Pavel
3 450 000 $3 450 000 $
C, AG
UFA - 3
Palmieri, Kyle
2 325 000 $2 325 000 $
AD, AG
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Wood, Miles
2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
AG
UFA - 3
Zajac, Travis
2 875 000 $2 875 000 $
C
NTC
UFA - 2
Noesen, Stefan
2 150 000 $2 150 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Coleman, Blake
1 800 000 $1 800 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 2
Boyle, Brian
2 475 000 $2 475 000 $
AG, C
UFA - 1
McGinn, Jamie
1 850 000 $1 850 000 $
AG, AD
UFA
Quenneville, John
975 000 $975 000 $
AG, C
UFA - 2
Lappin, Nick
775 000 $775 000 $
AD
UFA - 1
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Butcher, Will
6 250 000 $6 250 000 $
DG
UFA - 3
Faulk, Justin
4 150 000 $4 150 000 $
DD
NTC
UFA - 1
Schneider, Cory
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
G
NTC
UFA - 3
Vatanen, Sami
2 437 500 $2 437 500 $
DG/DD
UFA - 1
Severson, Damon
4 166 666 $4 166 666 $
DD
UFA - 4
Greene, Andy
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
DG/DD
NTC
UFA - 1
Santini, Steven
950 000 $950 000 $
DD
UFA - 2
Lehtonen, Kari
1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
G
UFA
Mueller, Mirco
925 000 $925 000 $
DG
UFA - 1

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8 août 2018 à 21 h 44
#1
Ragsandbluesfan
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RIP cap space
8 août 2018 à 21 h 45
#2
JP_knows_it_all
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Quoting: Ragsandbluesfan
RIP cap space


Team explanation : first point.
8 août 2018 à 21 h 46
#3
Ragsandbluesfan
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Quoting: jp_harvey
Team explanation : first point.


Ik, seemed fun tho
8 août 2018 à 21 h 47
#4
JP_knows_it_all
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Quoting: Ragsandbluesfan
Ik, seemed fun tho


Can't edit that aspect of the ACGM. I would have had to start over...was done when I realized it frown
8 août 2018 à 21 h 52
#5
Ragsandbluesfan
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Quoting: jp_harvey
Can't edit that aspect of the ACGM. I would have had to start over...was done when I realized it frown


Ooof
8 août 2018 à 21 h 56
#6
JP_knows_it_all
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Quoting: Ragsandbluesfan
Ooof


Besides that point...any thoughts on the whole thing?
8 août 2018 à 21 h 57
#7
Ragsandbluesfan
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Quoting: jp_harvey
Besides that point...any thoughts on the whole thing?


Looks good, rather keep mojo and keep zajac on the 4th line, boyle doesnt have to stay
8 août 2018 à 22 h 20
#8
jwink19
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I think it is highly unlikely that Butcher gets that much money.
8 août 2018 à 22 h 32
#9
JP_knows_it_all
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Quoting: jwink19
I think it is highly unlikely that Butcher gets that much money.


It's a risk on NJD's part, but those kinds of deals have been real steals for some teams in the past. Lots of money for the first 2 years, then it becomes a steal. Think of M.Scheifele, J.Tavares, S.Jones, T.Seguin, N.MacKinnon, T.Hall, A.Barkov, L.Couture, D.Hamilton...on a long term contract (7-8 years), he's getting that kind of money if he only repeats the year he just had.
8 août 2018 à 23 h 14
#10
The_Ultimate_Pielord
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Jesper Bratt as 1RW is really questionable.
2LW was sub-ppg in the OHL.
Starting goalies is coming off of back-to-back seasons of negative GSAA.
Yeah, I'm not penciling them in for a deep run. Faulk's a good add, Butcher's terrific, but this team needs a lot more work.
8 août 2018 à 23 h 40
#11
NickC1988
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I feel like this team is the Minnesota of the East. A lot of really good, above average players. But no real superstar besides Hall. Deep playoff run looks doubtful.
9 août 2018 à 7 h 38
#12
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Quoting: The_Ultimate_Pielord
Jesper Bratt as 1RW is really questionable.
2LW was sub-ppg in the OHL.
Starting goalies is coming off of back-to-back seasons of negative GSAA.
Yeah, I'm not penciling them in for a deep run. Faulk's a good add, Butcher's terrific, but this team needs a lot more work.


Yeah I do think they miss the playoff by 2-3 points in '18-'19, but it'll be a great learning year for all young players, where I expect Zacha, Stantini and Woods to make good progression. They'll be back in the playoffs for '19-'20 and might even win a round by surprising a higher seed team, but they're no contenter yet. In 3 years time, with a better goaltender (M.Blackwood is coming up) and the natural progression of all the youth (watch out for Hischier, he's gonna establish himself as a very skilled first line center by then), they might just be!
9 août 2018 à 7 h 42
#13
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Quoting: NickC1988
I feel like this team is the Minnesota of the East. A lot of really good, above average players. But no real superstar besides Hall. Deep playoff run looks doubtful.


Right now, you're right. Just give em time. Hischier will be an elite centermen in 2-3 years, Butcher will become a #1 d-men too, M.McLeod/J.Anderson/M.Woods at least one of them will become a real strong top 6 player for NJD (60pts/ year player). This team just needs time to properly developp.
9 août 2018 à 8 h 1
#14
DirtyDangles
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Still a fringe playoff team. Hischier's point total will likely climb but who other than Hall and Hischier are going to score more than 50 points?
9 août 2018 à 9 h 23
#15
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
Still a fringe playoff team. Hischier's point total will likely climb but who other than Hall and Hischier are going to score more than 50 points?


Palmieri is capable of doing it right this season. Johansson can too if he stays healthy (only this season since I'm letting him walk in the 2019 summer).

Of course they're still a fringe team, this season. This ACGM is a forecast of the 2019-2020 season, so by then, I think Zacha & Butcher will do it (score 50 pts) and maybe Woods will too (I really like his play style and think he'll breakout in the next 2 seasons).

With steadier defense and a consistent goalie, they'll be a threat (in 2 years time minimum).
9 août 2018 à 12 h 5
#16
DirtyDangles
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Quoting: jp_harvey
Palmieri is capable of doing it right this season. Johansson can too if he stays healthy (only this season since I'm letting him walk in the 2019 summer).

Of course they're still a fringe team, this season. This ACGM is a forecast of the 2019-2020 season, so by then, I think Zacha & Butcher will do it (score 50 pts) and maybe Woods will too (I really like his play style and think he'll breakout in the next 2 seasons).

With steadier defense and a consistent goalie, they'll be a threat (in 2 years time minimum).


Basically every player you named MUST do what you think or else you stay a fringe team. Your bottom 9 are questionable at best.
9 août 2018 à 14 h 33
#17
The_Ultimate_Pielord
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Quoting: jp_harvey
Yeah I do think they miss the playoff by 2-3 points in '18-'19, but it'll be a great learning year for all young players, where I expect Zacha, Stantini and Woods to make good progression. They'll be back in the playoffs for '19-'20 and might even win a round by surprising a higher seed team, but they're no contenter yet. In 3 years time, with a better goaltender (M.Blackwood is coming up) and the natural progression of all the youth (watch out for Hischier, he's gonna establish himself as a very skilled first line center by then), they might just be!


Santini's 23, aka next year is probably his peak. Blackwood had a .882 sv% in the AHL (and a .907 the year before). Probably not better than Schneider. They'll improve, but more adds are gonna need to happen. Palmieri and Hall will be at the beginning of their declines, too. I'm bearish.
9 août 2018 à 14 h 38
#18
JP_knows_it_all
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Quoting: The_Ultimate_Pielord
Santini's 23, aka next year is probably his peak. Blackwood had a .882 sv% in the AHL (and a .907 the year before). Probably not better than Schneider. They'll improve, but more adds are gonna need to happen. Palmieri and Hall will be at the beginning of their declines, too. I'm bearish.


Since when do D-MAN peak at 24? First time I hear this in my 25 years of closely following hockey...

M.Blackwood is 21 years old, Dude. Give him time! I did say he's coming up in 3 years, right? Goalies take more time than other positions. They usually are NHL ready around 24 to 26 years old.
9 août 2018 à 14 h 39
#19
The_Ultimate_Pielord
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
Still a fringe playoff team. Hischier's point total will likely climb but who other than Hall and Hischier are going to score more than 50 points?


Quoting: jp_harvey
Palmieri is capable of doing it right this season. Johansson can too if he stays healthy (only this season since I'm letting him walk in the 2019 summer).

Of course they're still a fringe team, this season. This ACGM is a forecast of the 2019-2020 season, so by then, I think Zacha & Butcher will do it (score 50 pts) and maybe Woods will too (I really like his play style and think he'll breakout in the next 2 seasons).

With steadier defense and a consistent goalie, they'll be a threat (in 2 years time minimum).


Palmieri is easily 50 points if healthy. His 2.92 S/gp puts him on the verge of scoring 30 goals, too.
Butcher might, given Faulk as his partner (Faulk likely will)
Johansson can if healthy.
The issue is that outside of Hall and Palmieri, they don't really have another 60 point scorer.
9 août 2018 à 14 h 45
#20
The_Ultimate_Pielord
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Quoting: jp_harvey
Since when do D-MAN peak at 24? First time I hear this in my 25 years of closely following hockey...

M.Blackwood is 21 years old, Dude. Give him time! I did say he's coming up in 3 years, right? Goalies take more time than other positions. They usually are NHL ready around 24 to 26 years old.


Rob Vollman, in the book Stat Shot: The Ultimate Guide to Hockey Analytics: "“Most players hit their peak age by age 24 or 25 then decline gradually until age 30, at which point their performance can begin to tumble more noticeably with the risk of absolute collapse by age 34 or 35.”

Blackwood has one season of > .910 sv% with >5 gp in total at any level. I remain bearish.

https://hockey-graphs.com/2017/03/23/a-new-look-at-aging-curves-for-nhl-skaters-part-1/ Source for quote, and some aging curve stuff. Dmen peak at 23-25.
 
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